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Short-term forecasting of Taiwanese earthquakes using a universal model of fusion-fission processes

หน่วยงาน Nanyang Technological University, Singapore

รายละเอียด

ชื่อเรื่อง : Short-term forecasting of Taiwanese earthquakes using a universal model of fusion-fission processes
นักวิจัย : Cheong, Siew Ann , Tan, Teck Liang , Chen, Chien-Chih , Chang, Wu-Lung , Liu, Zheng , Chew, Lock Yue , Sloot, Peter M. A. , Johnson, Neil F.
คำค้น : DRNTU::Science::Geology::Volcanoes and earthquakes.
หน่วยงาน : Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
ผู้ร่วมงาน : -
ปีพิมพ์ : 2557
อ้างอิง : Cheong, S. A., Tan, T. L., Chen, C.-C., Chang, W.-L., Liu, Z., Chew, L. Y., et al. (2014). Short-term forecasting of Taiwanese earthquakes using a universal model of fusion-fission processes. Scientific Reports, 4, 3624-. , 2045-2322 , http://hdl.handle.net/10220/19002 , http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep03624
ที่มา : -
ความเชี่ยวชาญ : -
ความสัมพันธ์ : Scientific reports
ขอบเขตของเนื้อหา : -
บทคัดย่อ/คำอธิบาย :

Predicting how large an earthquake can be, where and when it will strike remains an elusive goal in spite of the ever-increasing volume of data collected by earth scientists. In this paper, we introduce a universal model of fusion-fission processes that can be used to predict earthquakes starting from catalog data. We show how the equilibrium dynamics of this model very naturally explains the Gutenberg-Richter law. Using the high-resolution earthquake catalog of Taiwan between Jan 1994 and Feb 2009, we illustrate how out-of-equilibrium spatio-temporal signatures in the time interval between earthquakes and the integrated energy released by earthquakes can be used to reliably determine the times, magnitudes, and locations of large earthquakes, as well as the maximum numbers of large aftershocks that would follow.

บรรณานุกรม :
Cheong, Siew Ann , Tan, Teck Liang , Chen, Chien-Chih , Chang, Wu-Lung , Liu, Zheng , Chew, Lock Yue , Sloot, Peter M. A. , Johnson, Neil F. . (2557). Short-term forecasting of Taiwanese earthquakes using a universal model of fusion-fission processes.
    กรุงเทพมหานคร : Nanyang Technological University, Singapore.
Cheong, Siew Ann , Tan, Teck Liang , Chen, Chien-Chih , Chang, Wu-Lung , Liu, Zheng , Chew, Lock Yue , Sloot, Peter M. A. , Johnson, Neil F. . 2557. "Short-term forecasting of Taiwanese earthquakes using a universal model of fusion-fission processes".
    กรุงเทพมหานคร : Nanyang Technological University, Singapore.
Cheong, Siew Ann , Tan, Teck Liang , Chen, Chien-Chih , Chang, Wu-Lung , Liu, Zheng , Chew, Lock Yue , Sloot, Peter M. A. , Johnson, Neil F. . "Short-term forecasting of Taiwanese earthquakes using a universal model of fusion-fission processes."
    กรุงเทพมหานคร : Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, 2557. Print.
Cheong, Siew Ann , Tan, Teck Liang , Chen, Chien-Chih , Chang, Wu-Lung , Liu, Zheng , Chew, Lock Yue , Sloot, Peter M. A. , Johnson, Neil F. . Short-term forecasting of Taiwanese earthquakes using a universal model of fusion-fission processes. กรุงเทพมหานคร : Nanyang Technological University, Singapore; 2557.