| ชื่อเรื่อง | : | Statistical forecasting of met-ocean parameters in the Cochin estuarine system, southwest coast of India |
| นักวิจัย | : | Srinivas, K. , Revichandran, C. , DineshKumar, P.K. |
| คำค้น | : | sea surface temperature , EWMA |
| หน่วยงาน | : | National Institute Of Oceanography (NIO), India |
| ผู้ร่วมงาน | : | - |
| ปีพิมพ์ | : | 2546 |
| อ้างอิง | : | Indian Journal of Marine Sciences, vol.32(4), 285-293p. , http://drs.nio.org/drs/handle/2264/414 |
| ที่มา | : | - |
| ความเชี่ยวชาญ | : | - |
| ความสัมพันธ์ | : | - |
| ขอบเขตของเนื้อหา | : | - |
| บทคัดย่อ/คำอธิบาย | : | Three different statistical forecasting techniques - autoregressive, sinusoidal and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) were used to forecast monthly values of meteorological and oceanographic (met-ocean) parameters viz. sea surface temperature (SST), air temperature, atmospheric pressure, wind speed, rainfall, relative density and sea level, in the Cochin estuarine system. The EWMA technique (which yields forecast with a lead time of only one month) gave the lowest root mean square errors relative to the verifying observations. Atmospheric pressure could be forecast with less than 5% of error while SST and air temperature with less than 10% of error, by all the three techniques. 80% of the time, sea level could be forecast with less than 10% error, by each of the three techniques. However, wind speed, relative density and rainfall could not be forecast by any of the three techniques with any acceptable degree of accuracy. |
| บรรณานุกรม | : |
Srinivas, K. , Revichandran, C. , DineshKumar, P.K. . (2546). Statistical forecasting of met-ocean parameters in the Cochin estuarine system, southwest coast of India.
: National Institute Of Oceanography (NIO), India. Srinivas, K. , Revichandran, C. , DineshKumar, P.K. . 2546. "Statistical forecasting of met-ocean parameters in the Cochin estuarine system, southwest coast of India".
: National Institute Of Oceanography (NIO), India. Srinivas, K. , Revichandran, C. , DineshKumar, P.K. . "Statistical forecasting of met-ocean parameters in the Cochin estuarine system, southwest coast of India."
: National Institute Of Oceanography (NIO), India, 2546. Print. Srinivas, K. , Revichandran, C. , DineshKumar, P.K. . Statistical forecasting of met-ocean parameters in the Cochin estuarine system, southwest coast of India. : National Institute Of Oceanography (NIO), India; 2546.
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