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Periodic transfer function-noise model for forecasting

หน่วยงาน Central Queensland University, Australia

รายละเอียด

ชื่อเรื่อง : Periodic transfer function-noise model for forecasting
นักวิจัย : Mondal, Mohammad Shahjahan. , Wasimi, Saleh Ahmed.
คำค้น : TBA , 770402 Land and water management , 230202 Stochastic Analysis and Modelling , Streamflow , Ganges River (India and Bangladesh) , Seasonal variations -- Forecasting -- River flow -- India
หน่วยงาน : Central Queensland University, Australia
ผู้ร่วมงาน : -
ปีพิมพ์ : 2548
อ้างอิง : http://hdl.cqu.edu.au/10018/5436 , cqu:2338
ที่มา : Mondal, M S & Wasimi, S 2005, 'Periodic transfer function-noise model for forecasting', Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, vol. 10, no. 5, pp. 353-362.
ความเชี่ยวชาญ : -
ความสัมพันธ์ : Journal of hydrologic engineering Reston, Virginia : American Society of Civil Engineers, 2005. Vol. 10, no. 5 (Sept. 2005), p. 353-362 10 pages Refereed 1084-0699 , aCQUIRe [electronic resource] : Central Queensland University Institutional Repository.
ขอบเขตของเนื้อหา : -
บทคัดย่อ/คำอธิบาย :

A new class of time series models, referred to in this paper as the "periodic transfer function-noise (PTFN) model," has been developed through an extension of conventional nonperiodic (or constant parameter) transfer function-noise (TFN) models. The proposed PTFN model is very flexible, as its form or order and parameter values of both the dynamic and noise components may vary depending on the season of the year. It is shown that Box et al. 's modeling techniques for TFN models can be applied to PTFN models as well. The model has been applied for monthly forecasting of the Ganges River flow using monthly rainfall data of northern India as the predictor. The results are encouraging and suggest that the PTFN class of models has the potential to be useful in capturing the seasonally varying dynamic relationship between a dependent time series and one or more independent time series where each series is interyear stationary but within-year nonstationary.

บรรณานุกรม :
Mondal, Mohammad Shahjahan. , Wasimi, Saleh Ahmed. . (2548). Periodic transfer function-noise model for forecasting.
    กรุงเทพมหานคร : Central Queensland University, Australia.
Mondal, Mohammad Shahjahan. , Wasimi, Saleh Ahmed. . 2548. "Periodic transfer function-noise model for forecasting".
    กรุงเทพมหานคร : Central Queensland University, Australia.
Mondal, Mohammad Shahjahan. , Wasimi, Saleh Ahmed. . "Periodic transfer function-noise model for forecasting."
    กรุงเทพมหานคร : Central Queensland University, Australia, 2548. Print.
Mondal, Mohammad Shahjahan. , Wasimi, Saleh Ahmed. . Periodic transfer function-noise model for forecasting. กรุงเทพมหานคร : Central Queensland University, Australia; 2548.